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Designing trustworthy machine learning systems with structure‑aware conformal inference Wenwen Si
- Format:
- Book
- Thesis/Dissertation
- Author/Creator:
- Si, Wenwen, author.
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Computer science.
- Bioinformatics.
- Information science.
- 0984.
- 0800.
- 0723.
- 0715.
- Local Subjects:
- Computer science.
- Bioinformatics.
- Information science.
- 0984.
- 0800.
- 0723.
- 0715.
- Genre:
- Academic theses
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (148 pages)
- Contained In:
- Dissertations Abstracts International 87-12A
- Place of Publication:
- Ann Arbor : ProQuest Dissertations and Theses, 2026
- Language Note:
- English
- Summary:
- The safe deployment of machine learning systems requires reliable uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction has emerged as a promising framework because it provides attractive finite-sample reliability guarantees. However, classical conformal methods are often inadequate for real-world deployment, where data distributions may shift, prediction targets are often structured, and decisions are made sequentially over time. In this dissertation, we study how to design trustworthy machine learning systems by combining conformal inference with problem-specific structure across three major settings: (1) prediction under label shift, where target label proportions are unknown, (2) structured medical forecasting, where uncertainty must be clinically interpretable and robust under domain shift, and (3) sequential decision-making, where reliability and efficiency must be balanced over multiple steps. First, we develop a method for constructing training-set conditional, probably approximately correct prediction sets under label shift that accounts for confidence intervals around importance weights by modifying Gaussian elimination to propagate intervals. Second, for longitudinal glaucoma visual field progression prediction, we introduce archetype-based conformal inference, which represents uncertainty through clinically meaningful progression patterns, and we further extend this framework to domain shift through shift-aware conformal risk training. Third, we develop conformal approaches for reliable sequential decision-making, including conformal constrained policy optimization for language-model orchestration, policy-guided stepwise reasoning, and uncertainty-aware conformal training of a continuous-time decision transformer for sequential glaucoma medication prediction on the UPenn dataset. Across these settings, the dissertation shows how conformal inference can be aligned with distributional, archetypal, and sequential structure to produce outputs that are not only statistically valid, but also informative, interpretable, and useful for downstream decision-making
- Notes:
- Source: Dissertations Abstracts International, Volume: 87-12, Section: A.
- Advisors: Lee, Insup; Al-Aswad, Lama Committee members: Bastani, Osbert; Alur, Rajeev; Wong, Eric; Weimer, James
- Ph.D. University of Pennsylvania 2026
- Vendor supplied data
- Local Notes:
- School code: 0175
- ISBN:
- 9798247973614
- Access Restriction:
- Restricted for use by site license
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