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Lean and Just? Social Protection Spending and Inequality Outcomes across Europe / Alex Pienkowski, Valentina Semenova, Ian Stuart, Yuntian Lu.

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Format:
Book
Government document
Author/Creator:
Pienkowski, Alex.
Contributor:
Lu, Yuntian.
Semenova, Valentina.
Stuart, Ian.
Series:
IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2026/078
IMF Working Papers
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource (21 pages)
Place of Publication:
Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2026.
Summary:
European governments face tight fiscal constraints amid rising debt and mounting demands from aging, health, defense, and climate spending, while scope to raise taxes is limited. This paper benchmarks the distributional efficiency of non-old-age social protection across Europe using harmonized EU-SILC microdata: defining efficiency as the reduction in the Gini coefficient per euro of transfers. We estimate an efficiency frontier and document large cross-country dispersion: countries with similar spending levels achieve markedly different inequality outcomes. Moving toward the frontier implies potential savings of about 0.7 percent of GDP on average. Complementing this cross-sectional lens, we examine how inequality reduction changes with each additional euro of transfers as coverage extends beyond poorer households. We show that marginal gains typically decline and can eventually turn negative, helping to identify spending components with limited distributional payoff. While social protection serves many important objectives beyond redistribution, our metric provides a transparent, comparable benchmark for assessing where fiscal space may be created with minimal impact on inequality and poverty.
Notes:
Description based on print version record.
ISBN:
9798229045094

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