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Dynamic Aspects of Earnings Mobility / Lee A. Lillard, Robert J. Willis.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Lillard, Lee A.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Willis, Robert J.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w0150.
NBER working paper series no. w0150
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Poverty--Econometric models.
Poverty.
Social mobility--Economic aspects.
Social mobility.
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1976.
Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research, 1976.
Summary:
This paper proposes an econometric methodology to deal with life cycle earnings and mobility among discrete earnings classes. First, we use panel data on male log earnings to estimate an earnings function with permanent and serially correlated transitory components due to both measured and unmeasured variables. Assuming that the error components are normally distributed, we develop statements for the probability that an individual's earnings will fall into a particular but arbitrary time sequence of poverty states. Using these statements, we illustrate the implications of our earnings model for poverty dynamics and compare our approach to Markov chain models of income mobility.
Notes:
Print version record
September 1976.

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