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The Value of Waiting to Invest / Robert L. McDonald, Daniel Siegel.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
McDonald, Robert L.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Siegel, Daniel.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w1019.
NBER working paper series no. w1019
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1982.
Summary:
This paper studies the optimal timing of investment in an irreversible project where the benefits from the project and the investment cost follow continuous-time stochastic processes. The optimal time to invest and an explicit formula for the value of the option to invest are derived. The rule "invest if benefits exceed costs" does not properly account for the option value of waiting.Simulations show that this option value can be significant, and that for surprisingly reasonable parameter values it may be optimal to wait until benefits are twice the investment cost. Finally, we perform comparative static analysis on the valuation formula and on the rule for when to invest.
Notes:
Print version record
November 1982.

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