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The Revenue Demands of Public Employee Pension Promises / Robert Novy-Marx, Joshua D. Rauh.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Novy-Marx, Robert.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Rauh, Joshua D.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w18489.
NBER working paper series no. w18489
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2012.
Summary:
We calculate increases in contributions required to achieve full funding of state and local pension systems in the U.S. over 30 years. Without policy changes, contributions would have to increase by 2.5 times, reaching 14.1% of the total own-revenue generated by state and local governments. This represents a tax increase of $1,385 per household per year, around half of which goes to pay down legacy liabilities while half funds the cost of new promises. We examine sensitivity to asset return assumptions, wage correlations, the treatment of workers not currently in Social Security, and endogenous geographical shifts in the tax base.
Notes:
Print version record
October 2012.

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