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Enabling Entrepreneurial Choice / Ajay K. Agrawal, Joshua S. Gans, Scott Stern.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Agrawal, Ajay K.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Gans, Joshua S.
Stern, Scott.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w27379.
NBER working paper series no. w27379
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2020.
Summary:
Entrepreneurs must choose between alternative strategies for bringing their idea to market. They face uncertainty regarding both the quality of their idea as well as the efficacy of each strategy. While entrepreneurs can reduce this uncertainty by conducting tests, any single test conflates the signal of the efficacy of the particular strategy and the quality of the idea. Resolving this conflation requires exploring multiple strategies. Consequently, entrepreneurial choice is enhanced by finding ways to lower the cost of testing multiple strategies, receiving guidance as to the types of tests likely to reduce signal conflation, and optimally sequencing tests based on prior beliefs. This creates a role for judgment that may be provided by third parties such as mentors and investors. We hypothesize that institutions that lower the cost of transmitting and aggregating judgment spur entrepreneurial success.
Notes:
Print version record
June 2020.

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