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Duration-Based Stock Valuation: Reassessing Stock Market Performance and Volatility / Jules H. van Binsbergen.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
van Binsbergen, Jules H.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w27367.
NBER working paper series no. w27367
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2020.
Summary:
Using a panel of international government bond data, I construct fixed income portfolios that match the duration of the dividend strips of the corresponding local aggregate stock market index. I find that these bond portfolios have performed as well as -- if not better than -- their stock counterparts in the past half century while exhibiting similar (or even higher) levels of volatility. These results provide a novel perspective on both the equity risk premium and excess volatility puzzles (bubbles). I present several potential explanations, and discuss further the implications for macroeconomics, monetary economics, asset pricing, and corporate finance.
Notes:
Print version record
June 2020.

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