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Keep your Enemies Closer: Strategic Platform Adjustments during U.S. and French Elections / Rafael Di Tella, Randy Kotti, Caroline Le Pennec, Vincent Pons.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Di Tella, Rafael.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Kotti, Randy.
Le Pennec, Caroline.
Pons, Vincent.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w31503.
NBER working paper series no. w31503
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2023.
Summary:
We study changes in political discourse during campaigns, using a novel dataset of candidate websites for U.S. House elections, 2002-2016, and manifestos for French parliamentary and local elections, 1958-2022. We find that candidates move to the center in ideology and rhetorical complexity between the first round (or primary) and the second round (or general election). This convergence reflects candidates' strategic adjustment to their competitor, as predicted by the median voter theorem: Using an RDD, we show that candidates converge to the platform of opponents who narrowly qualified for the last round, as opposed to those who narrowly failed to qualify.
Notes:
Print version record
July 2023.

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