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The Extent of Measurement Error In Longitudinal Earnings Data: Do Two Wrongs Make A Right? / John Bound, Alan B. Krueger.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Bound, John.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Krueger, Alan B.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w2885.
NBER working paper series no. w2885
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
The Extent of Measurement Error In Longitudinal Earnings Data
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1989.
Summary:
This paper examines the properties and prevalence of measurement error in longitudinal earnings data. The analysis compares Current Population Survey data to administrative Social Security payroll tax records for a sample of heads of households over two years. In contrast. to the typically assumed properties of measurement error, the results indicate that errors are serially correlated over two years and negatively correlated with true earnings (i.e., mean reverting). Moreover, reported earnings are more reliable for females than males. Overall, the ratio of the variance of the signal to the total variance is .82 for men and .92 for women. These ratios fall to .65 and .81 when the data are specified in first-differences. The estimates suggest that longitudinal earnings data may be more reliable than previously believed.
Notes:
Print version record
March 1989.

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