The Real Exchange Rate, Exports, and Manufacturing Profits: A Theoreti- cal Framework With Some Empirical Support / Richard H. Clarida.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Clarida, Richard H.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w3811.

NBER working paper series no. w3811

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Other Title:

The Real Exchange Rate, Exports, and Manufacturing Profits

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1991.

Summary:

This paper investigates the relationship between manufacturing profits, exports, and the real exchange rate. Using Harston's (1990) model of pricing-to-market, we derive a co-integrated log-linear profits equation that restricts the long-run relationship among real U.S. manufacturing profits, domestic sales, the real exchange rate, real unit costs, the U.S. relative price of output, and foreign sales. We show that the elasticity of real profits with respect to the real exchange rate is bounded below by the product of (i) 1 minus the long-run pass-through coefficient and (ii) the ratio of export revenues to total profits. Our empirical findings suggest that, even after taking into account output, costs, and relative prices, real exchange rate fluctuations have a sizable and statistically significant influence on real U.S. manufacturing profits. The framework developed in this paper appears to be of some value in directing attention towards a heretofore underappreciated channel through which real exchange rate changes can potentially influence national savings.

Notes:

Print version record

August 1991.