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Complexity in Factor Pricing Models / Antoine Didisheim, Shikun (Barry) Ke, Bryan T. Kelly, Semyon Malamud.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Didisheim, Antoine.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Ke, Shikun (Barry).
Kelly, Bryan T.
Malamud, Semyon.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w31689.
NBER working paper series no. w31689
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2023.
Summary:
We theoretically characterize the behavior of machine learning asset pricing models. We prove that expected out-of-sample model performance--in terms of SDF Sharpe ratio and test asset pricing errors--is improving in model parameterization (or "complexity"). Our empirical findings verify the theoretically predicted "virtue of complexity" in the cross-section of stock returns. Models with an extremely large number of factors (more than the number of training observations or base assets) outperform simpler alternatives by a large margin.
Notes:
Print version record
September 2023.

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