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Voter Response to Peak and End Transfers: Evidence from a Conditional Cash Transfer Experiment / Sebastian Galiani, Nadya Hajj, Patrick J. McEwan, Pablo Ibarraran, Nandita Krishnaswamy.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Galiani, Sebastian.
- Series:
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w22588.
- NBER working paper series no. w22588
- Language:
- English
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- Other Title:
- Voter Response to Peak and End Transfers
- Place of Publication:
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2016.
- Summary:
- In a Honduran field experiment, sequences of cash transfers to poor households varied in amount of the largest ("peak") and last ("end") transfers. Larger peak-end transfers increased voter turnout and the incumbent party's vote share in the 2013 presidential election, independently of cumulative transfers. A plausible explanation is that voters succumbed to a common cognitive bias by applying peak-end heuristics. Another is that voters deliberately used peak-end transfers to update beliefs about the incumbent party. In either case, the results provide experimental evidence on the classic non-experimental finding that voters are especially sensitive to recent economic activity.
- Notes:
- Print version record
- September 2016.
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