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Alternative Models For Conditional Stock Volatility / Adrian R. Pagan, G. William Schwert.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Pagan, Adrian R.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Schwert, G. William.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w2955.
NBER working paper series no. w2955
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1989.
Summary:
This paper compares several statistical models for monthly stock return volatility. The focus is on U.S. data from 1834-19:5 because the post-1926 data have been analyzed in more detail by others. Also, the Great Depression had levels of stock volatility that are inconsistent with stationary models for conditional heteroskedasticity, We show the importance of nonlinearities in stock return behavior that are not captured by conventional ARCH or GARCH models. We also show the nonstationariry of stock volatility, even over the 1834-1925 period.
Notes:
Print version record
May 1989.

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