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The Influence Of Probability on Risky Choice: A parametric Examination / Pamela K. Lattimore, Joanna R. Baker, A. Dryden Witte.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Lattimore, Pamela K.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Baker, Joanna R.
Witte, A. Dryden.
Series:
Technical Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. t0081.
NBER technical working paper series no. t0081
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
The Influence Of Probability on Risky Choice
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1992.
Summary:
The appeal of expected utility theory as a basis for a descriptive model of risky decision making has diminished is a result of empirical evidence which suggests that individuals do not behave in a manner consistent with the prescriptive tenets of EUT. In this paper, we explore the influence of probability on risky choice. by proposing and estimating a parametric model of risky decision making. Our results suggest that models which provide for probability transformations are most appropriate for the majority of subjects. Further. we find that the transformation differs for most subjects depending upon whether the risky outcomes are gains or losses. Most subjects are considerably less sensitive to changes in mid-range probability than is proposed by the expected utility model and risk-seeking behavior over "long-shot" odds is common
Notes:
Print version record
August 1992.

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