Explaining the Variance of Price Dividend Ratios / John H. Cochrane.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Cochrane, John H.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w3157.

NBER working paper series no. w3157

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Analysis of variance.

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1989.

Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research, 1989.

Summary:

This paper presents a bound on the variance of the price-dividend ratio and a decomposition of the variance of the price-dividend ratio into components that reflect variation in expected future discount rates and variation in expected future dividend growth. Unobserved discount rates needed to make the variance bound and variance decomposition hold are characterized, and the variance bound and variance decomposition are tested for several discount rate models, including the consumption based model, and models based on interest rates plus a constant risk premium.

Notes:

Print version record

November 1989.

Includes bibliographical references.