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What Moves Stock Prices? / David M. Cutler, James M. Poterba, Lawrence H. Summers.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Cutler, David M.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Poterba, James M.
Summers, Lawrence H.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w2538.
NBER working paper series no. w2538
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 1988.
Summary:
This paper estimates the fraction of the variance in aggregate stock returns that can be attributed to various kinds of news. First, we consider macroeconomic news and show that it is difficult to explain more than one third of the return variance from this source. Second, to explore the possibility that the stock market responds to information that is omitted from our specifications, we also examine market moves coincident with major political and world events. The relatively small market responses to such news, along with evidence that large market moves often occur on days without any identifiable major news releases, casts doubt on the view that stock price movements are fully explicable by news about future cash flows and discount rates.
Notes:
Print version record
March 1988.

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