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Energy Prices and Electric Vehicle Adoption / James B. Bushnell, Erich Muehlegger, David S. Rapson.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Bushnell, James B.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Muehlegger, Erich.
Rapson, David S.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w29842.
NBER working paper series no. w29842
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2022.
Summary:
This paper presents evidence that gasoline prices have a larger effect on demand for electric vehicles (EVs) than electricity prices in California. We match a spatially-disaggregated panel dataset of monthly EV registration records to detailed records of gasoline and electricity prices in California from 2014-2017, and use these to estimate the effect of energy prices on EV demand. Two distinct empirical approaches (panel fixed-effects and a utility-border discontinuity) yield remarkably similar results: a given change in gasoline prices has roughly four to six times the effect on EV demand as a similar percentage change in electricity prices. We explore the implications for optimal EV subsidies, which promote externality reduction benefits and correct for consumer misoptimization stemming from the undervaluation of future electricity costs.
Notes:
Print version record
March 2022.

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