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Industrial Clusters in the Long Run: Evidence from Million-Rouble Plants in China / Stephan Heblich, Marlon Seror, Hao Xu, Yanos Zylberberg.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Heblich, Stephan.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Seror, Marlon.
Xu, Hao.
Zylberberg, Yanos.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w30744.
NBER working paper series no. w30744
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2022.
Summary:
We identify negative spillovers exerted by large, successful manufacturing plants on other local production facilities in China. A short-lived alliance between the U.S.S.R. and China led to the construction of 150 "Million-Rouble plants" in the 1950s. Our identification strategy exploits the ephemeral geopolitical context and the relative position of allied and enemy airbases to isolate exogenous variation in plant location decisions. We find a boom-and-bust pattern in hosting counties: treated counties are twice as productive as control counties in 1982, but 30% less productive in 2010. The average other establishment in treated counties is unproductive, does not innovate, and charges high markups. We find that (over)specialization limits technological spillovers. This prevents the emergence of new industrial clusters and leads to a flight of entrepreneurs.
Notes:
Print version record
December 2022.

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