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What's up with the Phillips Curve? / Marco Del Negro, Michele Lenza, Giorgio E. Primiceri, Andrea Tambalotti.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Del Negro, Marco.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Lenza, Michele.
Primiceri, Giorgio E.
Tambalotti, Andrea.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w27003.
NBER working paper series no. w27003
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2020.
Summary:
The business cycle is alive and well, and real variables respond to it more or less as they always did. Witness the Great Recession. Inflation, in contrast, has gone quiescent. This paper studies the sources of this disconnect using VARs and an estimated DSGE model. It finds that the disconnect is due primarily to the muted reaction of inflation to cost pressures, regardless of how they are measured--a flat aggregate supply curve. A shift in policy towards more forceful inflation stabilization also appears to have played some role by reducing the impact of demand shocks on the real economy. The evidence rules out stories centered around changes in the structure of the labor market or in how we should measure its tightness.
Notes:
Print version record
April 2020.

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