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Thinking ahead : the decision problem / Patrick Bolton, Antoine Faure-Grimaud.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Bolton, Patrick, 1957- author.
Faure-Grimaud, Antoine, author.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; Number w11867.
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) ; Number w11867
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Decision making--Econometric models.
Decision making.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (46 pages) : illustrations.
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Massachusetts : National Bureau of Economic Research, 2005.
Summary:
We propose a model of bounded rationality based on time-costs of deliberating current and future decisions. We model an individual decision maker's thinking process as a thought-experiment that takes time and let the decision maker "think ahead" about future decision problems in yet unrealized states of nature. By formulating an intertemporal, state-contingent, planning problem, which may involve costly deliberation in every state of nature, and by letting the decision-maker deliberate ahead of the realization of a state, we attempt to capture the basic idea that individuals generally do not think through a complete action-plan. Instead, individuals prioritize their thinking and leave deliberations on less important decisions to the time or event when they arise.
Notes:
Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.

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