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Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability / Matias Iaryczower, Adam Meirowitz, Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Iaryczower, Matias.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Meirowitz, Adam.
Lopez-Moctezuma, Gabriel.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w29966.
NBER working paper series no. w29966
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2022.
Summary:
Quantifying the value that legislators give to reelection relative to policy is crucial to understanding electoral accountability. We estimate the preferences for office and policy of members of the US Senate, using a structural approach that exploits variation in polls, position-taking and advertising throughout the electoral cycle. We then combine these preference estimates with estimates of the electoral effectiveness of policy moderation and political advertising to quantify electoral accountability in competitive and uncompetitive elections. We find that senators differ markedly in the value they give to securing office relative to policy gains: while over a fourth of senators are highly ideological, a sizable number of senators are willing to make relatively large policy concessions to attain electoral gains. Nevertheless, electoral accountability is only moderate on average, due to the relatively low impact of changes in senators' policy stance on voter support.
Notes:
Print version record
April 2022.

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