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What can we Learn from Euro-Dollar Tweets? / Vahid Gholampour, Eric van Wincoop.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Gholampour, Vahid.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
van Wincoop, Eric.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w23293.
NBER working paper series no. w23293
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2017.
Summary:
We use 633 days of tweets about the Euro/dollar exchange rate to determine their information content and the profitability of trading based on Twitter Sentiment. We develop a detailed lexicon used by FX traders to translate verbal tweets into positive, negative and neutral opinions. The methodologically novel aspect of our approach is the use of a model with heterogeneous private information to interpret the data from FX tweets. After estimating model parameters, we compute the Sharpe ratio from a trading strategy based on Twitter Sentiment. The Sharpe ratio outperforms that based on the well-known carry trade and is precisely estimated.
Notes:
Print version record
March 2017.

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