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The Costs of Job Displacement over the Business Cycle and Its Sources: Evidence from Germany / Johannes F. Schmieder, Till M. von Wachter, Jörg Heining.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Schmieder, Johannes F.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
von Wachter, Till M.
Heining, Jörg.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w30162.
NBER working paper series no. w30162
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2022.
Summary:
We document the sources behind the costs of job loss over the business cycle using administrative data from Germany. Losses in annual earnings after displacement are large, persistent, and highly cyclical, nearly doubling in size during downturns. A large part of the long-term earnings losses and their cyclicality is driven by declines in wages. Key to these long-lasting wage declines and their cyclicality are changes in employer characteristics, as displaced workers switch to lower-paying firms. Changes in characteristics of workers or displacing firms explain little of the cyclicality, though non-employment durations correlated with losses in employer effects play a role.
Notes:
Print version record
June 2022.

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