Loan Originations and Defaults in the Mortgage Crisis: Further Evidence / Manuel Adelino, Antoinette Schoar, Felipe Severino.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Adelino, Manuel.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Schoar, Antoinette.

Severino, Felipe.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w21320.

NBER working paper series no. w21320

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2015.

Summary:

This paper addresses two critiques by Mian and Sufi (2015a, 2015b) that were released in response to the results documented in Adelino, Schoar and Severino (2015). We confirm that none of the results in our previous paper are affected by the issues put forward in these critiques; in particular income overstatement does not drive any of our results. Our analysis shows that the origination of purchase mortgages increased across the whole income distribution during the 2002-2006 housing boom, and did not flow disproportionately to low-income borrowers. In addition, middle- and high-income, as well as middle- and high-credit-score borrowers (not the poor), represent a larger fraction of delinquencies in the crisis relative to earlier periods. The results are inconsistent with the idea that distortions in the origination of credit caused the housing boom and the crisis and are more consistent with an expectations-based view where both home buyers and lenders were buying into increasing housing values and defaulted once prices dropped.

Notes:

Print version record

July 2015.