1 option
Skewness and Time-Varying Second Moments in a Nonlinear Production Network: Theory and Evidence / Ian Dew-Becker, Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, Andrea Vedolin.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Dew-Becker, Ian.
- Series:
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w29499.
- NBER working paper series no. w29499
- Language:
- English
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- Place of Publication:
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2021.
- Summary:
- This paper studies asymmetry in economic activity over the business cycle. It develops a tractable multisector model of the economy in which complementarity across inputs causes aggregate activity to be left skewed with countercyclical volatility. We then examine implications of the model regarding the time-series skewness of activity at the sector level, cyclicality of dispersion and skewness across sectors, and the conditional covariances of sector growth rates, finding support for each in the data. The empirical skewness of employment growth, industrial production growth, and stock returns increases with the level of aggregation, which is consistent with the model's implication that it is the nonlinearity in the production structure of the economy that generates the skewness. Other prominent models of asymmetry are not able to simultaneously match the range of empirical facts that the production network model can.
- Notes:
- Print version record
- November 2021.
The Penn Libraries is committed to describing library materials using current, accurate, and responsible language. If you discover outdated or inaccurate language, please fill out this feedback form to report it and suggest alternative language.