Market Response to Racial Uprisings / Bocar A. Ba, Roman Rivera, Alexander Whitefield.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Ba, Bocar A.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Rivera, Roman.

Whitefield, Alexander.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w31606.

NBER working paper series no. w31606

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2023.

Summary:

Do investors anticipate that demands for racial equity will impact companies? We explore this question in the context of the Black Lives Matter (BLM) movement--the largest racially motivated protest movement in U.S. history--and its effect on the U.S. policing industry using a novel dataset on publicly traded firms contracting with the police. It is unclear whether the BLM uprisings were likely to increase or decrease market valuations of firms contracting heavily with police because of the increased interest in reforming the police, fears over rising crime, and pushes to "defund the police". We find, in contrast to the predictions of economics experts we surveyed, that in the three weeks following incidents triggering BLM uprisings, policing firms experienced a stock price increase of seven percentage points relative to the stock prices of nonpolicing firms in similar industries. In particular, firms producing surveillance technology and police accountability tools experienced higher returns following BLM activism-related events. Furthermore, policing firms' fundamentals, such as sales, improved after the murder of George Floyd, suggesting that policing firms' future performances bore out investors' positive expectations following incidents triggering BLM uprisings. Our research shows how--despite BLM's calls to reduce investment in policing and explore alternative public safety approaches--the financial market has translated high-profile violence against Black civilians and calls for systemic change into shareholder gains and additional revenues for police suppliers.

Notes:

Print version record

August 2023.