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Operating Hedge and Gross Profitability Premium / Leonid Kogan, Jun Li, Harold Zhang.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Kogan, Leonid.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Li, Jun.
Zhang, Harold.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w30241.
NBER working paper series no. w30241
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2022.
Summary:
We show theoretically that variable production costs lower systematic risk of firms' cash flows if capital and variable inputs are complementary in firms' production and input prices are pro-cyclical. In our dynamic model, this operating hedge effect is weaker for more profitable firms, giving rise to a gross profitability premium. Moreover, gross profitability and value factors are distinct and negatively correlated, and their premia are not captured by the CAPM. We estimate the model by the simulated method of moments, and find that its main implications for stock returns and cash flow dynamics are quantitatively consistent with the data.
Notes:
Print version record
July 2022.

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