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The Incidence of Civil War: Theory and Evidence / Timothy J. Besley, Torsten Persson.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Besley, Timothy.
Contributor:
Persson, Torsten.
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w14585.
NBER working paper series no. w14585
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
The Incidence of Civil War
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2008.
Summary:
This paper studies the incidence of civil war over time. We put forward a canonical model of civil war, which relates the incidence of conflict to circumstances, institutions and features of the underlying economy and polity. We use this model to derive testable predictions and to interpret the cross-sectional and times-series variations in civil conflict. Our most novel emprical finding is that higher world market prices of exported, as well as imported, commodities are strong and significant predictors of higher within-country incidence of civil war.
Notes:
December 2008.
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