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Incomplete Information, Higher-Order Beliefs and Price Inertia / George-Marios Angeletos, Jennifer La'O.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Angeletos, George-Marios.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
La'O, Jennifer.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w15003.
NBER working paper series no. w15003
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2009.
Summary:
This paper investigates who incomplete information impacts the response of prices to nominal shocks. Our baseline model is a variant of the Calvo model in which firms observe the underlying nominal shocks with noise. In this model, the response of prices is pinned down by three parameters: the precision of available information about the nominal shock; the frequency of price adjustment; and the degree of strategic complementarity in pricing decisions. This result synthesizes the broader lessons of the pertinent literature. We next highlight that his synthesis provides only a partial view of the role or incomplete information. In general, the precision of information does not pin down the response of higher-order beliefs. Therefore, once cannot quantify the degree of price inertia without additional information about the dynamics of higher-order beliefs, or the agents' forecasts of inflation. We highlight the distinct role of higher-order beliefs with three extensions of our baseline model, all of which break the tight connection between the precision of information and higher-order beliefs featured in previous work.
Notes:
Print version record
May 2009.

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