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Expectations Uncertainty and Household Economic Behavior / Itzhak Ben-David, Elyas Fermand, Camelia M. Kuhnen, Geng Li.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Ben-David, Itzhak.
- Series:
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w25336.
- NBER working paper series no. w25336
- Language:
- English
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- Place of Publication:
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018.
- Summary:
- We show that there exists significant heterogeneity across US households in how uncertain they are in their expectations regarding personal and macroeconomic outcomes, and that uncertainty in expectations predicts households' choices. Individuals with lower income or education, more precarious finances, and living in counties with higher unemployment are more uncertain in their expectations regarding own-income growth, inflation, and national home price changes. People with more uncertain expectations, even accounting for their socioeconomic characteristics, exhibit more precaution in their consumption, credit, and investment behaviors.
- Notes:
- Print version record
- December 2018.
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