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Identification of Counterfactuals in Dynamic Discrete Choice Models / Myrto Kalouptsidi, Paul T. Scott, Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Kalouptsidi, Myrto.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Scott, Paul T.
Souza-Rodrigues, Eduardo.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w21527.
NBER working paper series no. w21527
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2015.
Summary:
Dynamic discrete choice (DDC) models are not identified nonparametrically, but the non-identification of models does not necessarily imply the non-identification of counterfactuals. We derive novel results for the identification of counterfactuals in DDC models, such as non- additive changes in payoffs or changes to agents' choice sets. In doing so, we propose a general framework that allows the investigation of the identification of a broad class of counterfactuals (covering virtually any counterfactual encountered in applied work). To illustrate the results, we consider a firm entry/exit problem numerically, as well as an empirical model of agricultural land use. In each case, we provide examples of both identified and non-identified counterfactuals of interest.
Notes:
Print version record
September 2015.

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