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Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections / Gordon Dahl, Runjing Lu, William Mullins.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Dahl, Gordon.
- Series:
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w29058.
- NBER working paper series no. w29058
- Language:
- English
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- Place of Publication:
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2021.
- Summary:
- Changes in political leadership drive sharp changes in public policy and partisan beliefs about the future. We exploit the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential household decisions: whether to have a child. Republican-leaning counties experience a sharp and persistent increase in fertility relative to Democratic counties, a shift amounting to 1.2 to 2.2% of the national fertility rate. In addition, Hispanics see fertility fall relative to non-Hispanics, especially compared to rural or evangelical whites.
- Notes:
- Print version record
- July 2021.
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