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What Is CEO Overconfidence? Evidence from Executive Assessments / Steven N. Kaplan, Morten Sorensen, Anastasia A. Zakolyukina.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Kaplan, Steven N.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Sorensen, Morten.
Zakolyukina, Anastasia A.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w27853.
NBER working paper series no. w27853
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2020.
Summary:
We use detailed assessments of CEO personalities to explore the option-based measure of CEO overconfidence, Longholder, introduced by Malmendier and Tate (2005a) and widely used in the behavioral corporate finance and economics literatures. Longholder is significantly related to several specific characteristics and is negatively related to general ability. These relations also hold for overconfidence measures derived from CEOs' earnings guidance. Investment-cash flow sensitivities are larger for both Longholder and less able CEOs. Overall, Longholder CEOs have many of the same characteristics traditionally associated with overconfident individuals, including lower general ability, supporting the interpretation of this measure as reflecting overconfidence.
Notes:
Print version record
September 2020.

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