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The Effects of Medicaid Expansion on Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Border Counties / Lizhong Peng, Xiaohui (Ronnie) Guo, Chad D. Meyerhoefer.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Peng, Lizhong.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Guo, Xiaohui (Ronnie).
Meyerhoefer, Chad D.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w25105.
NBER working paper series no. w25105
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
Effects of Medicaid Expansion on Labor Market Outcomes
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018.
Summary:
This paper provides new empirical evidence on the employment and earning effects of the recent Medicaid expansion. Unlike most existing studies that use a conventional state and year fixed effects approach, our main identification strategy is based on the comparison of employment and wages in contiguous county-pairs in neighboring states (i.e. border counties) with different Medicaid expansion status. Using the 2008-2016 Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, we estimate a set of distributed lag models in order to examine the dynamic effects of Medicaid expansion. Results from our preferred specification suggest a small but statistically significant decrease in employment of 1.3 percent one year after the Medicaid expansion. This disemployment effect is transitory and appears to primarily occur in low-wage sectors. In particular, employment returns to pre-expansion levels within two years. We also do not find any statistically significant effect of the Medicaid expansion on wages at any point.
Notes:
Print version record
September 2018.

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