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The Causal Effect of Unemployment Duration on Wages: Evidence from Unemployment Insurance Extensions / Johannes F. Schmieder, Till von Wachter, Stefan Bender.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Schmieder, Johannes F.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
von Wachter, Till.
Bender, Stefan.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w19772.
NBER working paper series no. w19772
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
Causal Effect of Unemployment Duration on Wages
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2013.
Summary:
This paper provides quasi-experimental estimates of the causal effect of long-term unemployment on wages. Using standard job search theory, the paper derives and tests conditions on reemployment wages under which Unemployment Insurance (UI) extensions can be used as instrumental variables (IV) for unemployment duration. Using a regression discontinuity design, the paper shows that UI extensions at age thresholds reduced reemployment wages of job searchers in Germany. The UI extensions do not affect the reemployment wages conditional on the month of unemployment exit, implying reservation wages do not bind on average. Hence, UI extensions affect mean wages only through unemployment durations. Our IV estimates imply substantial negative effects of unemployment duration on wages of 0.8% per month.
Notes:
Print version record
December 2013.

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