Belief Disagreement and Portfolio Choice / Maarten Meeuwis, Jonathan A. Parker, Antoinette Schoar, Duncan I. Simester.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Meeuwis, Maarten.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Parker, Jonathan A.

Schoar, Antoinette.

Simester, Duncan I.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w25108.

NBER working paper series no. w25108

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018.

Summary:

Using proprietary portfolio data on millions of households, we show that (likely) Republicans increase the equity share and market beta of their portfolios following the 2016 presidential election, while (likely) Democrats rebalance into safe assets. We provide evidence that this behavior is driven by investors interpreting public information using different models of the world, by ruling out the main non-belief-based channels (like income hedging needs, preferences, local economic exposure) using detailed controls for ex ante wealth and investments, demographics and income, and even county-employer-period fixed effects. These findings are driven by a small share of investors making big changes in allocation, and are stronger among investors who are more attentive to their portfolios or who do not delegate their investment decisions.

Notes:

Print version record

September 2018.