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Can Hearts and Minds Be Bought? The Economics of Counterinsurgency in Iraq / Eli Berman, Jacob N. Shapiro, Joseph H. Felter.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Berman, Eli.
- Series:
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w14606.
- NBER working paper series no. w14606
- Language:
- English
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- Place of Publication:
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2008.
- Summary:
- We develop and test an economic theory of insurgency motivated by the informal literature and by recent military doctrine. We model a three-way contest between violent rebels, a government seeking to minimize violence by mixing service provision and coercion, and civilians deciding whether to share information about insurgents. We test the model using panel data from Iraq on violence against Coalition and Iraqi forces, reconstruction spending, and community characteristics (sectarian status, socio-economic grievances, and natural resource endowments). Our results support the theory's predictions: improved service provision reduces insurgent violence, particularly for smaller projects and since the "surge" began in 2007.
- Notes:
- Print version record
- December 2008.
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