Anticipated Alternative Instrument-Rate Paths in Policy Simulations / Stefan Laséen, Lars E.O. Svensson.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Laséen, Stefan.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Svensson, Lars E.O.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w14902.

NBER working paper series no. w14902

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2009.

Summary:

This paper specifies a new convenient algorithm to construct policy projections conditional on alternative anticipated policy-rate paths in linearized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, such as Ramses, the Riksbank's main DSGE model. Such projections with anticipated policy-rate paths correspond to situations where the central bank transparently announces that it, conditional on current information, plans to implement a particular policy-rate path and where this announced plan for the policy rate is believed and then anticipated by the private sector. The main idea of the algorithm is to include among the predetermined variables (the "state" of the economy) the vector of nonzero means of future shocks to a given policy rule that is required to satisfy the given anticipated policy-rate path.

Notes:

Print version record

April 2009.