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Inflation and the Price of Real Assets / Matteo Leombroni, Monika Piazzesi, Martin Schneider, Ciaran Rogers.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Leombroni, Matteo.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Piazzesi, Monika.
Schneider, Martin.
Rogers, Ciaran.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w26740.
NBER working paper series no. w26740
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2020.
Summary:
In the 1970s, U.S. asset markets witnessed (i) a 25% dip in the ratio of aggregate household wealth relative to GDP and (ii) negative comovement of house and stock prices that drove a 20% portfolio shift out of equity into real estate. This study uses an overlapping generations model with uninsurable nominal risk to quantify the role of structural change in these events. We attribute the dip in wealth to the entry of baby boomers into asset markets, and to the erosion of bond portfolios by surprise inflation, both of which lowered the overall propensity to save. We also show that the Great Inflation led to a portfolio shift by making housing more attractive than equity. Disagreement about inflation across age groups matters for the size of tax effects, the volume of nominal credit, and the price of housing as collateral.
Notes:
Print version record
February 2020.

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