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Re-examining the Effects of Trading with China on Local Labor Markets: A Supply Chain Perspective / Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei, Xinding Yu, Kunfu Zhu.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Wang, Zhi.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Wei, Shang-Jin.
Yu, Xinding.
Zhu, Kunfu.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w24886.
NBER working paper series no. w24886
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
Re-examining the Effects of Trading with China on Local Labor Markets
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018.
Summary:
The United States imports intermediate inputs from China, helping downstream US firms to expand employment. Using a cross-regional reduced-form specification but differing from the existing literature, this paper (a) incorporates a supply chain perspective, (b) uses intermediate input imports rather than total imports in computing the downstream exposure, and (c) uses exporter-specific information to allocate imported inputs across US sectors. We find robust evidence that the total impact of trading with China is a positive boost to local employment and real wages. The most important factor is employment stimulation outside the manufacturing sector through the downstream channel. This overturns the received wisdom from the reduced-form literature and provides statistical support for a key mechanism hypothesized in general equilibrium spatial models.
Notes:
Print version record
August 2018.

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