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The Effects of Fiscal Consolidations: Theory and Evidence / Alberto Alesina, Omar Barbiero, Carlo Favero, Francesco Giavazzi, Matteo Paradisi.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Alesina, Alberto.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Barbiero, Omar.
Favero, Carlo.
Giavazzi, Francesco.
Paradisi, Matteo.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w23385.
NBER working paper series no. w23385
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
Effects of Fiscal Consolidations
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2017.
Summary:
We investigate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal consolidations based upon government spending cuts, transfers cuts and tax hikes. We extend a narrative dataset of fiscal consolidations, with details on over 3500 measures for 16 OECD countries. We show that government spending cuts and cuts in transfers are much less harmful than tax hikes, despite the fact that non-distortionary transfers are not classified as spending. Standard New Keynesian models robustly match our results when fiscal shocks are persistent. Wealth effects on aggregate demand mitigate the impact of a persistent spending cut. Static distortions caused by persistent tax hikes cause larger shifts in aggregate supply under sticky prices.
Notes:
Print version record
May 2017.

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