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Stock Market Wealth and the Real Economy: A Local Labor Market Approach / Gabriel Chodorow-Reich, Plamen T. Nenov, Alp Simsek.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Chodorow-Reich, Gabriel.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Nenov, Plamen T.
Simsek, Alp.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w25959.
NBER working paper series no. w25959
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
Stock Market Wealth and the Real Economy
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2019.
Summary:
We provide evidence of the stock market wealth effect on consumption by using a local labor market analysis and regional heterogeneity in stock market wealth. An increase in local stock wealth driven by aggregate stock prices increases local employment and payroll in nontradable industries and in total, while having no effect on employment in tradable industries. In a model with consumption wealth effects and geographic heterogeneity, these responses imply a marginal propensity to consume out of a dollar of stock wealth of 3.2 cents per year. We also use the model to quantify the aggregate effects of a stock market wealth shock when monetary policy is passive. A 20% increase in stock valuations, unless countered by monetary policy, increases the aggregate labor bill by at least 1.7% and aggregate hours by at least 0.75% two years after the shock.
Notes:
Print version record
June 2019.

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