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Estimating Habit Formation in Voting / Thomas Fujiwara, Kyle C. Meng, Tom Vogl.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Fujiwara, Thomas.
- Series:
- Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w19721.
- NBER working paper series no. w19721
- Language:
- English
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
- Place of Publication:
- Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2013.
- Summary:
- We estimate habit formation in voting--the effect of past on current turnout--by exploiting transitory voting cost shocks. Using county-level data on U.S. presidential elections from 1952-2012, we find that precipitation on current and past election days reduces voter turnout. Our estimates imply that a 1-point decrease in past turnout lowers current turnout by 0.7-0.9 points. Consistent with a dynamic extension of the Downsian framework, current precipitation has stronger effects following previous rainy elections. Further analyses suggest that this habit formation operates by reinforcing the intrinsic satisfaction associated with voting.
- Notes:
- Print version record
- December 2013.
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