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Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination / George-Marios Angeletos, Chen Lian.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Angeletos, George-Marios.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Lian, Chen.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w22297.
NBER working paper series no. w22297
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2016.
Summary:
This chapter studies how incomplete information helps accommodate frictions in coordination, leading to novel insights on the joint determination of expectations and macroeconomic outcomes. We review and synthesize recent work on global games, beauty contests, and their applications. We elaborate on the distinct effects of strategic uncertainty relative to fundamental uncertainty. We demonstrate the potential fragility of workhorse macroeconomic models to relaxations of common knowledge; the possibility of operationalizing the notions of "coordination failure" and "animal spirits" in a manner that unifies unique- and multiple-equilibrium models; and the ability of incomplete information to offer a parsimonious explanation of important empirical regularities. We provide a general treatment of these ideas, as well as specific applications in the context of business cycles, financial crises, and asset pricing.
Notes:
Print version record
June 2016.

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