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Quantitative Analysis of Multi-Party Tariff Negotiations / Kyle Bagwell, Robert W. Staiger, Ali Yurukoglu.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Bagwell, Kyle.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Staiger, Robert W.
Yurukoglu, Ali.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w24273.
NBER working paper series no. w24273
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018.
Summary:
This paper develops a model of international tariff negotiations to study the design of the institutional rules of the GATT/WTO. We embed a multi-sector model of trade between multiple countries into a model of inter-connected bilateral negotiations over tariffs. Using 1990 trade flows and tariff outcomes from the Uruguay Round of GATT/WTO negotiations, we estimate country-sector productivity levels, sector-level productivity dispersion, iceberg trade costs, and country-pair bargaining parameters. We use the estimated model to simulate an alternative institutional setting for multilateral tariff negotiations in which the most-favored-nation requirement is abandoned. We find that abandonment of the most-favored-nation requirement would result in inefficient over-liberalization of tariffs and a deterioration in world-wide welfare relative to the negotiated outcomes in the presence of the most-favored-nation requirement.
Notes:
Print version record
February 2018.

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