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Leverage and Beliefs: Personal Experience and Risk Taking in Margin Lending / Peter Koudijs, Hans-Joachim Voth.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Koudijs, Peter.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Voth, Hans-Joachim.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w19957.
NBER working paper series no. w19957
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Other Title:
Leverage and Beliefs
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2014.
Summary:
What determines risk-bearing capacity and the amount of leverage in financial markets? Using unique archival data on collateralized lending, we show that personal experience can affect individual risk-taking and aggregate leverage. When an investor syndicate speculating in Amsterdam in 1772 went bankrupt, many lenders were exposed. In the end, none of them actually lost money. Nonetheless, only those at risk of losing money changed their behavior markedly - they lent with much higher haircuts. The rest continued largely as before. The differential change is remarkable since the distress was public knowledge. Overall leverage in the Amsterdam stock market declined as a result.
Notes:
Print version record
March 2014.

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