Deterministic Debt Cycles in Open Economies with Flow Collateral Constraints / Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé, Martín Uribe.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Schmitt-Grohé, Stephanie.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Uribe, Martín.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w26613.

NBER working paper series no. w26613

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2020.

Summary:

This paper establishes the existence of deterministic cycles in infinite-horizon open economy models with a flow collateral constraint. It shows that for plausible parameter configurations, the economy has a unique equilibrium exhibiting deterministic cycles in which periods of debt growth are followed by periods of debt deleveraging. In particular, three-period cycles exist, which implies by the Li-Yorke Theorem the presence of cycles of any periodicity and chaos. The paper also shows that deterministic cycles are absent in the Ramsey optimal allocation providing a justification for macroprudential policies even in the absence of uncertainty.

Notes:

Print version record

January 2020.