Demography, Unemployment, Automation, and Digitalization: Implications for the Creation of (Decent) Jobs, 2010-2030 / David E. Bloom, Mathew McKenna, Klaus Prettner.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Bloom, David E.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

McKenna, Mathew.

Prettner, Klaus.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w24835.

NBER working paper series no. w24835

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Other Title:

Demography, Unemployment, Automation, and Digitalization

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018.

Summary:

Globally, an estimated 734 million jobs will be required between 2010 and 2030 to accommodate recent and ongoing demographic shifts, account for plausible changes in labour force participation rates, and achieve target unemployment rates of at or below 4 percent for adults and at or below 8 percent for youth. The facts that i) most new jobs will be required in countries where "decent" jobs are less prevalent and ii) workers in many occupations are increasingly subject to risks of automation further compound the challenge of job creation, which is already quite sizable in historical perspective. Failure to create the jobs that are needed through 2030 would put currently operative social security systems under pressure and undermine efforts to guarantee the national social protection floors enshrined in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Notes:

Print version record

July 2018.