Should they stay or should they go? Climate Migrants and Local Conflicts / Valentina Bosetti, Cristina Cattaneo, Giovanni Peri.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Bosetti, Valentina.

Contributor:

National Bureau of Economic Research.

Cattaneo, Cristina.

Peri, Giovanni.

Series:

Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w24447.

NBER working paper series no. w24447

Language:

English

Physical Description:

1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2018.

Summary:

There is extensive evidence that higher temperature increases the probability of local conflict. There is also some evidence that emigration represents an important margin of adaptation to climatic change. In this paper we analyse whether migration influences the link between warming and conflicts by either attenuating the effects in countries of origin and/or by spreading them to countries of destination. We find that in countries where emigration propensity, as measured by past diaspora, was higher, increases in temperature had a smaller effects on conflict probability, consistent with emigration functioning as "escape valve" for local tensions. We find no evidence that climate-induced migration increased the probability of conflict in receiving countries.

Notes:

Print version record

March 2018.