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Disasters implied by equity index options / David Backus, Mikhail Chernov, Ian Martin.

NBER Working papers Available online

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Backus, David.
Contributor:
National Bureau of Economic Research.
Chernov, Mikhail.
Martin, Ian.
Series:
Working Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research) no. w15240.
NBER working paper series no. w15240
Language:
English
Physical Description:
1 online resource: illustrations (black and white);
Place of Publication:
Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2009.
Summary:
We use prices of equity index options to quantify the impact of extreme events on asset returns. We define extreme events as departures from normality of the log of the pricing kernel and summarize their impact with high-order cumulants: skewness, kurtosis, and so on. We show that high-order cumulants are quantitatively important in both representative-agent models with disasters and in a statistical pricing model estimated from equity index options. Option prices thus provide independent confirmation of the impact of extreme events on asset returns, but they imply a more modest distribution of them.
Notes:
Print version record
August 2009.

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